A home for every reader: the subscriber dashboard
Every reader now has a home for the record: a subscriber dashboard with tiered access, and an accuracy figure that refuses to score a read until its thirty-day window has closed.
How the analytics engine actually works, why we change its logic, and what the market data keeps telling us. Method changes in the open, decisions on the record. Data and market analysis, never financial advice.
Every reader now has a home for the record: a subscriber dashboard with tiered access, and an accuracy figure that refuses to score a read until its thirty-day window has closed.
Ether's historical accuracy looked off, but the number was measuring a gap in capture, not the method. Here's why we score Ether only from a clean cutover forward, and why we refuse to assume the missing readings were wins.
Orion doesn't tell you to buy or sell. It reads the conditions and writes them down. Why that distinction runs all the way down to the words we use.
Crypto floats on a macro tide: the dollar, rates, and how much money is sloshing through the system. The regime read Orion built from those forces, and its honest limits.
A Fed hike is not bullish or bearish on its own. What matters is where crypto sits when it lands. The constructive half of Orion's policy-pivot read.
The same Fed pivot that reads constructive at a low reads the opposite way at a high. When policy tightens into stretched risk, risk-free yield competes for capital.
The same input can mean opposite things depending on structure and where the liquidity sits. Orion cross-checks both sides, long and short, bottom and top, before it draws a conclusion.
We added a new layer to the engine: continuous regime reads for altcoins, Ether positioning and macro, reporting the state week to week rather than only at the big turns. Here is what they do and why they make the record more complete.
A crowded long/short ratio only means something once you know where price sits and where the liquidation liquidity is. Here is the upgrade that gave Orion's leverage read its context, versioned in the open.
Orion publishes market conditions across six lenses, waits 90 days before making them public, and scores every reading against what price actually did. A plain-English tour of the method.